Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Croydon Athletic win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for VCD Athletic had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Croydon Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest VCD Athletic win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Croydon Athletic would win this match.