Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clevedon Town win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Amersham Town had a probability of 38.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clevedon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.98%) and 2-3 (4.69%). The likeliest Amersham Town win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.