Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Herne Bay win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Ashford Town had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Herne Bay win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Ashford Town win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Herne Bay would win this match.