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FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Woodhorn Lane

Ashington AFC
1 - 1
Bishop Auckland

FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Ashington AFC and Bishop Auckland.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bishop Auckland win with a probability of 58.42%. A win for Ashington AFC had a probability of 21.59% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bishop Auckland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.3%) and 1-3 (7.04%). The likeliest Ashington AFC win was 2-1 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Ashington AFCDrawBishop Auckland
21.59%19.99%58.42%
Both teams to score 64.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.4%31.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.9%53.09%
Ashington AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71%27.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28%62.72%
Bishop Auckland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.21%10.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.2%34.79%
Score Analysis
    Ashington AFC 21.59%
    Bishop Auckland 58.42%
    Draw 19.99%
Ashington AFCDrawBishop Auckland
2-1 @ 5.53%
1-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.67%
2-0 @ 2.48%
3-1 @ 2.39%
3-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 21.59%
1-1 @ 8.51%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 2.94%
3-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 19.99%
1-2 @ 9.48%
0-2 @ 7.3%
1-3 @ 7.04%
0-1 @ 6.55%
0-3 @ 5.42%
2-3 @ 4.57%
1-4 @ 3.92%
0-4 @ 3.02%
2-4 @ 2.55%
1-5 @ 1.75%
0-5 @ 1.34%
2-5 @ 1.13%
3-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 58.42%

rhs 2.0
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1Manchester CityMan City33009279
2Liverpool33007079
3Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32106247
4Arsenal32105147
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle32104227
6Brentford32015416
7Aston Villa32014406
8Bournemouth31205415
9Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest31203215
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs31116334
11Chelsea31117524
12Fulham31113304
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham310245-13
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd310225-33
15Leicester CityLeicester301235-21
16Crystal Palace301225-31
17Ipswich TownIpswich301227-51
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves301239-61
19Southampton300315-40
20Everton3003210-80


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