Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellingborough Town win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Aylestone Park had a probability of 37.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellingborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5%) and 1-3 (4.95%). The likeliest Aylestone Park win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellingborough Town would win this match.