Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnstaple Town win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Falmouth Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnstaple Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.12%). The likeliest Falmouth Town win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnstaple Town would win this match.
