MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 10:56:27| >> :600:715745:715745:
FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park

Brackley Town
4 - 1
Ramsgate

Newton (37'), Pollock (84'), Roberts (86'), Byrne (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Taylor (47')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Brackley Town and Ramsgate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Marine AFC
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Ramsgate 1-0 Broadbridge Heath
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Ramsgate had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Ramsgate win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawRamsgate
45.48% (-2.988 -2.99) 22.75% (0.303 0.3) 31.77% (2.683 2.68)
Both teams to score 64.63% (0.54600000000001 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.88% (0.032000000000004 0.03)36.11% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.78% (0.034000000000006 0.03)58.22% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (-1.072 -1.07)16.38% (1.069 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.98% (-1.972 -1.97)46.02% (1.97 1.97)
Ramsgate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (1.621 1.62)22.71% (-1.625 -1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.63% (2.35 2.35)56.37% (-2.352 -2.35)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 45.48%
    Ramsgate 31.77%
    Draw 22.75%
Brackley TownDrawRamsgate
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.248 -0.25)
1-0 @ 6.73% (-0.262 -0.26)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.473 -0.47)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.358 -0.36)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.433 -0.43)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.26 -0.26)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.265 -0.27)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 45.48%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.69% (0.137 0.14)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.99% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.412 0.41)
0-1 @ 5.51% (0.248 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.366 0.37)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.364 0.36)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.218 0.22)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.267 0.27)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.191 0.19)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 31.77%

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12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
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