MX23RW : Sunday, May 19 21:53:46| >> :600:200641:200641:
Brentford logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
West Ham logo

Brentford
0 - 1
West Ham


Wissa (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Benrahma (79')
Dawson (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Brentford and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Liverpool
Monday, January 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 West Ham
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League

We said: Brentford 1-2 West Ham United

While Brentford are classed as the clear favourites for this fixture, the prospect of changes being made should lead to a tight contest. With that in mind, we feel that the Hammers may edge this game, earning a result which could buy Moyes some time in the dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawWest Ham United
31.68% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 24.39% (0.012 0.01) 43.93% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 58.6% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)44% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.61% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)66.39% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)26.59% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)61.81% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)20.17% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.54% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)52.46% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 31.68%
    West Ham United 43.93%
    Draw 24.39%
BrentfordDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 7.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.71% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.68%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 43.93%

How you voted: Brentford vs West Ham

Brentford
68.0%
Draw
11.5%
West Ham United
20.5%
122
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
West Ham
1-2
Brentford
Bowen (80')
Zouma (35'), Rice (90+2')
Mbeumo (20'), Wissa (90+4')
Norgaard (69'), Canos (84'), Jorgensen (85')
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Brentford
0-1
West Ham
Benrahma (65')
Aug 29, 2020 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
West Ham
2-1
Brentford
Yarmolenko (5'), Soucek (61')
Forss (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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