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FA Cup
Burton Albion
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Port Vale

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Port Vale

Leak (23')
Shaughnessy (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Politic (79', 82')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round clash between Burton Albion and Port Vale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPort Vale
37.25%24.45%38.3%
Both teams to score 59.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.94%43.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.54%65.46%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05%22.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.26%56.74%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59%22.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.07%55.93%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 37.25%
    Port Vale 38.3%
    Draw 24.45%
Burton AlbionDrawPort Vale
2-1 @ 8.33%
1-0 @ 7.57%
2-0 @ 5.57%
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 3.06%
3-0 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.25%
1-1 @ 11.32%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.45%
1-2 @ 8.47%
0-1 @ 7.7%
0-2 @ 5.75%
1-3 @ 4.22%
2-3 @ 3.11%
0-3 @ 2.87%
1-4 @ 1.58%
2-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 38.3%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
1-2
Burton Albion
Cullen (53')
Gibbons (43'), Bennett (83'), Amoo (92')
Boyce (9'), Fraser (62')
Akins (79'), Daniel (91')
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Port Vale
1-0
Burton Albion
Miller (65')
Clark (63'), Miller (87')

McCrory (48')
Mar 19, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
0-4
Burton Albion

Duffy (45')
Akins (34'), Grant (45' og.), Duffy (50'), Butcher (60')
Oct 24, 2015 3pm
Burton Albion
2-0
Port Vale
Naylor (84'), El Khayati (90')
Naylor (66')
Weir (80')

Ikpeazu (20'), McGivern (32'), Duffy (56'), Dodds (85'), O'Connor (87')
Ikpeazu (26')
Apr 5, 2013 7.45pm
Port Vale
7-1
Burton Albion
Birchall (25'), Pope (56'), Hughes (12', 22' pen., 51' pen.), Williamson (73', 90')
Hughes (51')

McCrory (38')
> Match Report
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