FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
War Memorial Sports Ground
Carshalton3 - 1Haywards Heath Town
FT(HT: 0-0)
Goldsmith (80' pen.)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Carshalton Athletic and Haywards Heath Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Haywards Heath Town 2-0 Deal Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carshalton Athletic win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Haywards Heath Town had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carshalton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.6%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Haywards Heath Town win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carshalton Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Carshalton Athletic | Draw | Haywards Heath Town |
63.39% ( -0.02) | 18.47% ( 0) | 18.13% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 64.48% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.48% ( 0.03) | 29.52% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.39% ( 0.03) | 50.61% ( -0.03) |
Carshalton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.02% ( 0) | 8.98% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.38% ( 0) | 30.62% ( -0) |
Haywards Heath Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.84% ( 0.04) | 29.16% ( -0.04) |