Charlton4 - 1Coalville Town
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, November 2 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
We said: Charlton Athletic 3-0 Coalville Town
Coalville have done remarkably well to get to this stage but we think this tie will be a bridge too far for them. The Valley has become somewhat of a fortress for Charlton too - they have only lost once at home so far this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Coalville Town had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Coalville Town win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Coalville Town |
69.1% ( 0.09) | 17.6% ( -0.02) | 13.31% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 55.46% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.46% ( -0.05) | 35.54% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.41% ( -0.05) | 57.59% ( 0.05) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.7% ( 0.01) | 9.31% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.6% ( 0.02) | 31.4% ( -0.02) |
Coalville Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.16% ( -0.12) | 38.85% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.42% ( -0.12) | 75.58% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Coalville Town |
2-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.63% 4-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.53% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 4.49% Total : 69.1% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.6% | 1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 13.31% |
How you voted: Charlton vs Coalville Town
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 34 |
2 | Arsenal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Chelsea | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
4 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
6 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 22 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 20 |
8 | Brentford | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 19 |
10 | Fulham | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
12 | Aston Villa | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 19 |
13 | Bournemouth | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 18 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 15 |
15 | Everton | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 9 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 5 |
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