Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Stoneham win with a probability of 64.52%. A win for Fleet Town had a probability of 18.92% and a draw had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Stoneham win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.34%) and 2-3 (5.7%). The likeliest Fleet Town win was 2-1 (4.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Stoneham would win this match.