Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grays Athletic win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Hullbridge Sports had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grays Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.76%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Hullbridge Sports win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grays Athletic would win this match.