Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stafford Rangers win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Hanley Town had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stafford Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Hanley Town win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stafford Rangers would win this match.