Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hanworth Villa win with a probability of 60.84%. A win for Abbey Rangers had a probability of 20.35% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hanworth Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Abbey Rangers win was 1-2 (5.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hanworth Villa would win this match.