Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harleston Town win with a probability of 66.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Heacham had a probability of 15.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harleston Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Heacham win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harleston Town would win this match.