Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Ives Town win with a probability of 69.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Harpenden Town had a probability of 14.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Ives Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.07%), while for a Harpenden Town win it was 2-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.