Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larkhall Athletic win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Hartley Wintney had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larkhall Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (5.32%). The likeliest Hartley Wintney win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larkhall Athletic would win this match.