Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hastings United win with a probability of 54.61%. A win for Redhill had a probability of 23.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hastings United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.63%) and 1-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Redhill win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hastings United would win this match.