Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilkeston win with a probability of 73.35%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Heanor Town had a probability of 11.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilkeston win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Heanor Town win it was 2-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilkeston would win this match.
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