Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heybridge Swifts win with a probability of 67.43%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Wormley Rovers had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heybridge Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Wormley Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heybridge Swifts in this match.