Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Berkhamsted win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Hitchin Town had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Berkhamsted win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Hitchin Town win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Berkhamsted would win this match.