Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tavistock win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Ilfracombe Town had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tavistock win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.95%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Ilfracombe Town win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tavistock would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.02) 
