Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tavistock win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Ivybridge Town had a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tavistock win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Ivybridge Town win it was 2-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tavistock would win this match.
