Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yate Town win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Kidlington had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yate Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Kidlington win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yate Town would win this match.
