Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chichester City win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Kingstonian had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chichester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.48%) and 0-1 (5.35%). The likeliest Kingstonian win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chichester City would win this match.