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FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Larkfield Park

Larkfield & New Hythe
3 - 1
Lingfield

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Larkfield & New Hythe and Lingfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larkfield & New Hythe win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Lingfield had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larkfield & New Hythe win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Lingfield win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larkfield & New Hythe would win this match.

Result
Larkfield & New HytheDrawLingfield
40.74%23.22%36.04%
Both teams to score 64.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.88%37.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.68%59.31%
Larkfield & New Hythe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29%18.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.94%50.06%
Lingfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.11%20.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.39%53.61%
Score Analysis
    Larkfield & New Hythe 40.74%
    Lingfield 36.04%
    Draw 23.21%
Larkfield & New HytheDrawLingfield
2-1 @ 8.6%
1-0 @ 6.55%
2-0 @ 5.49%
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 40.74%
1-1 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 6.73%
0-0 @ 3.91%
3-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-1 @ 6.12%
0-2 @ 4.79%
1-3 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 36.04%

rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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