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FA Cup
Lincoln City
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Morecambe

Lincoln
1 - 2
Morecambe

Sorensen (14')
Eyoma (20'), Sorensen (57'), Hamilton (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mellon (43'), Bloxham (53')
King (21'), Tutonda (22'), Senior (62'), McKiernan (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Lincoln City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Morecambe

 A total of 10 goals were scored across three meetings between Lincoln and Morecambe last season, with both teams netting on each occasion, and there could be plenty of goalmouth action once again this weekend. Despite their midweek defeat, the Shrimps remain in high spirts heading to Sincil Bank and will fancy their chances of coming out on top against the Imps, but we believe that the hosts will do enough to avoid a cup upset and progress to the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawMorecambe
42.92% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05) 25.82% (0.131 0.13) 31.26% (-0.09 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.61% (-0.472 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.56% (-0.598 -0.6)50.43% (0.589 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.63% (-0.53 -0.53)72.36% (0.523 0.52)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64% (-0.286 -0.29)23.36% (0.278 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67% (-0.413 -0.41)57.33% (0.405 0.41)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95% (-0.35900000000001 -0.36)30.05% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82% (-0.431 -0.43)66.17% (0.423 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 42.91%
    Morecambe 31.26%
    Draw 25.82%
Lincoln CityDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.42% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 42.91%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.165 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.44% (0.118 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 31.26%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Morecambe
3-2
Lincoln
Stockton (50', 86'), Niasse (66')
Sorensen (30'), Virtue (48')
> Preview
Nov 22, 2022 7pm
Second Round
Lincoln
1-1
Morecambe
 Lincoln win 4-3 on penalties
Hopper (53')
Stockton (67')
> Preview
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Lincoln
2-1
Morecambe
Walsh (17'), House (67')
Weir (81')
> Preview
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Lincoln
2-1
Morecambe
Whittaker (10'), Bramall (19')
Walsh (42'), Maguire (90+2')
Diagouraga (56')
Bedeau (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Morecambe
2-0
Lincoln
Stockton (53'), Wootton (79')
McLaughlin (55')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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