Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.