MX23RW : Saturday, November 2 10:26:23| >> :120:4933:4933:
Luton Town
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 9, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Harrogate Town

Luton
4 - 0
Harrogate

Adebayo (18'), Jerome (50'), Naismith (82'), Berry (88')
Lansbury (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Luton Town and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Luton Town 2-0 Harrogate Town

Despite morale being boosted with their EFL Trophy win earlier this week, this represents a significant step-up for Harrogate. The Hatters should have enough quality to claim a relatively comfortable victory, regardless of the team that Jones selects on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawHarrogate Town
35.52%25.06%39.42%
Both teams to score 57.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.95%46.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65%68.35%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73%25.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97%60.02%
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83%23.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.94%57.05%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 35.52%
    Harrogate Town 39.42%
    Draw 25.05%
Luton TownDrawHarrogate Town
2-1 @ 8.1%
1-0 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 35.52%
1-1 @ 11.77%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.85%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.05%
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-1 @ 8.56%
0-2 @ 6.26%
1-3 @ 4.2%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.12%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 39.42%

How you voted: Luton vs Harrogate

Luton Town
81.3%
Draw
9.4%
Harrogate Town
9.4%
64
rhs 2.0
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2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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