Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thornbury Town win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Lydney Town had a probability of 38.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thornbury Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.16%) and 1-3 (4.74%). The likeliest Lydney Town win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.