Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cleethorpes Town win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Malvern Town had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cleethorpes Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.08%) and 1-3 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Malvern Town win it was 2-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cleethorpes Town would win this match.