Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merstham win with a probability of 52.75%. A win for Wick had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Merstham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Wick win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Merstham would win this match.