We said: Millwall 1-2 Crystal Palace (a.e.t)
Millwall may sense an opportunity for an upset here given Palace's AFCON absentees, but the Eagles still have the talent in the front line to help them avoid an early exit.
Eze and Olise will be out to make statements of intent during their time to shine, but Palace's dire form away from home and Millwall's strength at The Den means that extra time could very well be required.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crystal Palace in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Crystal Palace.
