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FA Cup
Millwall logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Sheffield United logo

Millwall
0 - 2
Sheff Utd


McNamara (18')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Jebbison (23'), Bogle (36')
Bogle (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Millwall and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Rotherham
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Sheffield United

All competitions
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Sheff Utd
Monday, January 2 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-1 Sheffield United

 We expect both sides to rotate heavily on Saturday, and although the visitors have been stronger in the Championship this season, injuries have severely hit their squad depth, and we see Millwall's changed XI prevailing as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawSheffield United
41.84% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 28.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 30.03% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.15% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.28% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)59.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.98% (-0.023 -0.02)80.02% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)28.15% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)63.84% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.77% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.46% (-0.012 -0.01)72.54% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 41.83%
    Sheffield United 30.02%
    Draw 28.13%
MillwallDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 12.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.09% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 41.83%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 10.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.75%
0-2 @ 5.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 30.02%

How you voted: Millwall vs Sheff Utd

Millwall
43.1%
Draw
23.1%
Sheffield United
33.8%
65
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Sheff Utd
2-0
Millwall
Ndiaye (7'), Berge (22')
Clark (82'), Norrington-Davies (90+3'), Foderingham (90+4')

Bennett (45'), McNamara (90+3')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Millwall
1-0
Sheff Utd
Cooper (61')

Ndiaye (43'), Baldock (51'), Norrington-Davies (70'), Norwood (90+4')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Sheff Utd
1-2
Millwall
Sharp (45' pen.)
Gibbs-White (34'), Stevens (82'), Norwood (90+6')
Gibbs-White (54')
Wallace (11'), Cooper (90+2')
Saville (67')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Fourth Round
Millwall
0-2
Sheff Utd
> Match Report
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Sheff Utd
1-1
Millwall
Madine (51')
Fleck (62')
Egan (85')
Cooper (95')
Wallace (59'), Cooper (95')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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