Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Rushden and Diamonds win with a probability of 53.16%. A win for Newark Flowserve had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Rushden and Diamonds win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.57%) and 1-3 (6.48%). The likeliest Newark Flowserve win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.