MX23RW : Sunday, November 10 21:33:07| >> :600:606225:606225:
FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Neuven Stadium (Radcliffe, Greater Manchester)
Bury

Radcliffe
2 - 3
Bury

Dudley (7'), Wardle (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coughlan (56'), Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim (82'), Ly (90' pen.)
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Radcliffe and Bury.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warrington Town 1-2 Radcliffe
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 0-3 Bury
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radcliffe win with a probability of 66.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Bury had a probability of 16.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Radcliffe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Bury win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
RadcliffeDrawBury
66.2% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 17.5% (0.0019999999999989 0) 16.3% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 64.26% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.88% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)28.12% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.11% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)48.89% (0.07 0.07)
Radcliffe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)8% (0.0111 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.8% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)28.2% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Bury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)30.15% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)66.3% (0.077000000000012 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Radcliffe 66.2%
    Bury 16.3%
    Draw 17.5%
RadcliffeDrawBury
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 7.69% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.48% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.09% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 4.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.09% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.48% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-0 @ 2.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-2 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 66.2%
1-1 @ 7.3% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 17.5%
1-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 2.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 16.3%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
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11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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