Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading City win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Ardley United had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.47%) and 3-1 (5.36%). The likeliest Ardley United win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading City would win this match.