Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rugby Town win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Stone Old Alleynians had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rugby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Stone Old Alleynians win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rugby Town would win this match.
