Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Romania win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Sawbridgeworth Town had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Romania win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.75%) and 1-3 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Sawbridgeworth Town win it was 2-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Romania would win this match.