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FA Cup
FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Brewery Field

Spennymoor
3 - 1
Morpeth Town

Taylor (23'), Ramshaw (30'), Fletcher (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
James (85')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Spennymoor Town and Morpeth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North

Morpeth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Morpeth Town 1-0 AFC Emley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Morpeth Town had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 3-1 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Morpeth Town win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawMorpeth Town
61.91% (0.0089999999999932 0.01) 19.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 18.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.98% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.84% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)33.15% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.09% (0.010000000000005 0.01)54.9% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.63% (0.0010000000000048 0)10.36% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.14% (0.01100000000001 0.01)33.86% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Morpeth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)30.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 61.91%
    Morpeth Town 18.69%
    Draw 19.4%
Spennymoor TownDrawMorpeth Town
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 7.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 61.91%
1-1 @ 8.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 19.4%
1-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 3.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 18.69%

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