Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wingate & Finchley win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Thame had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wingate & Finchley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.98%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Thame win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wingate & Finchley would win this match.