Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidlington win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Tuffley Rovers had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidlington win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.44%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Tuffley Rovers win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidlington would win this match.
0.44) 
-0.51) 
