Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willand Rovers win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Brixham had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willand Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Brixham win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willand Rovers would win this match.