Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 53.86%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.