Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grantham Town win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Yaxley FC had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grantham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.52%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Yaxley FC win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grantham Town would win this match.