Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Binh Dinh win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Hong Linh Ha Tinh had a probability of 13.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Binh Dinh win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Hong Linh Ha Tinh win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Binh Dinh would win this match.