Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 42.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Gimnasia y Tiro had a probability of 28.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 1-2 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Gimnasia y Tiro win it was 1-0 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
