Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for SSC Giugliano had a probability of 13.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a SSC Giugliano win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.