Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Este had a probability of 12.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.78%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Este win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.