Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 53.18%. A win for Dollingstown had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.54%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Dollingstown win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.